Group J: 11 Commodities and precious metals ETF's

Below my transactions (older than 1 month) from group J: info

BOUGHT

Date: 18-07-2018
ETF: ETFS Physical Silver ETF
Price: 12,58
More info:

ETF provider: ETF Securities

Ticker: PHAG

ISIN: JE00B1VS3333

Currency: Euro

Exchange: Euronext Amsterdam

Long term: 1 year

Expected profit: 70%

Achievable within 1 year: 80% chance

Short term: 1 month

Expected profit: 5%
Achievable within 1 month: 80% chance

Reason bought:

The silver price has been very low for years. It is striking that the relationship between the gold and silver price is getting bigger and bigger. The silver price decreases compared to the gold price. In contrast to gold, the industry uses a relatively large amount of silver. Silver is used up. Gold is more popular with investors than silver. Speculators like silver more. There is less money needed to get the silver price in motion. Both gold and silver are in high demand for risks and increasing inflation. Inflation is on the rise and that increase will continue because of the trade wars. Misery is more difficult to predict. If the gold price rises, the silver price will follow after a while. Over time, the silver price will then rise faster than the gold price.

SOLD

Date: 29-05-2018
Type sell: Short term sell
ETF: ETFS Physical Gold ETF
Purchase date: 08-12-2017
Price: 107,96
Realised profit: 6%
Reason sell:

Mission accomplished.

SOLD

Date: 24-05-2018
Type sell: Short term sell
ETF: ETFS Physical Silver ETF
Purchase date: 09-02-2018
Price: 13,44
Realised profit: 6%
Reason sell:

Mission accomplished.

SOLD

Date: 09-05-2018
Type sell: Short term sell
ETF: Lyxor Commodities CRB Thomson Reuters/Corecommodity UCITS ETF
Purchase date: 23-05-2017
Price: 15,91
Realised profit: 5%
Reason sell:

Mission accomplished.

BOUGHT

Date: 09-02-2018
ETF: ETFS Physical Silver ETF
Price: 12,68
More info:

ETF provider: ETF Securities

Ticker: PHAG

ISIN: JE00B1VS3333

Currency: Euro

Exchange: Euronext Amsterdam

Long term: 1 year

Expected profit: 100%

Achievable within 1 year: 80% chance

Short term: 1 month

Expected profit: 6%
Achievable within 1 month: 70% chance

Reason bought:

Stock markets are falling and the gold and silver prices are under pressure. The reason is that the yield on government bonds is rising. A rising interest rate is not good for the silver price. But if you look at why interest rates rise, it is a completely different story. The interest rate rises because inflation rises. Rising inflation is good for the silver price. Because in the coming years the interest rate can not rise too fast given the large debt mountain, inflation will rise faster than interest rates. That will be good for the silver price.

SOLD

Date: 28-12-2017
Type sell: Long term sell
ETF: ETFS Brent Oil
Purchase date: 09-03-2017
Price: 23,41
Realised profit: 14%
Reason sell:

In total 2 purchases. Despite the fact that I have the expectation that the oil price will rise I sold the ETF. In fact, the oil price has gone up fast lately. A temporary setback is then possible. In case of a price drop, I will buy again.

SOLD

Date: 28-12-2017
Type sell: Long term sell
ETF: ETFS Coffee
Purchase date: 29-12-2016
Price: 0,953
Realised profit: - 24%
Reason sell:

A total of 6 purchases. 2 short-term purchases were already sold with profit as expected. The four outstanding positions for the short-term strategy and the long-term strategy have suddenly all been sold. Unfortunately with a loss. The reasons are: The supply can keep up with the rising demand. Inflation is still low. For those reasons, I would have liked to wait. But now that the American tax plan has been approved and US government debt will rise soon after the ceiling has risen, the Dollar will fall and the Euro will rise. Raw material prices are in Dollars but this ETF is in Euros. In the past year, this ETF has already suffered a lot from the higher Euro. Now that the Euro can rise even higher sold.

SOLD

Date: 28-12-2017
Type sell: Long term sell
ETF: ETFS Sugar
Purchase date: 20-01-2017
Price: 7,74
Realised profit: - 23%
Reason sell:

A total of 6 purchases. 6 for the short-term strategy of which 2 had previously been sold with profit as expected. The remaining 4 purchases for the short-term strategy and the long-term position have been fully sold. Unfortunately with a loss. The reasons are: The supply can keep up with the rising demand. Inflation is still low. For those reasons, I would have liked to wait. But now that the American tax plan has been approved and US government debt will rise soon after the ceiling has risen, the Dollar will fall and the Euro will rise. Raw material prices are in Dollars but this ETF is in Euros. In the past year, this ETF has already suffered a lot from the higher Euro. Now that the Euro can rise even higher it was better to sell..

BOUGHT

Date: 08-12-2017
ETF: ETFS Physical Gold ETF
Price: 101,85
More info:

ETF provider: ETF Securities

Ticker: PHAU

ISIN: JE00B1VS3770

Currency: Euro

Exchange: Euronext Amsterdam

Long term: 1 year

Expected profit: 25%

Achievable within 1 year: 80% chance

Short term: 1 month

Expected profit: 6%
Achievable within 1 month: 80% chance

Reason bought:

The gold price is in Euros at the lowest position this year. Investors do not see any risks due to high-level stock exchanges. For a good spread of the portfolio it is therefore good to buy a gold ETF. The demand for gold from the industry is increasing. A good global economy will increase the demand for gold jewelery. The gold price depends mainly on 2 things. Demand and fear. The demand is good and it will only get better. There is no fear and that is the reason for the current low price. But before you know it, some fear can sneak into the market and then the gold price rises.

SOLD

Date: 09-11-2017
Type sell: Short term sell
ETF: ETFS Sugar
Purchase date: 20-09-2017
Price: 7,97
Realised profit: 6%
Reason sell:

Mission accomplished.

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