Group J: 11 Commodities and precious metals ETF's

Below my transactions (older than 1 month) from group J: info

BOUGHT

Date: 28-02-2020
ETF: ETFS (WisdomTree) Physical Silver ETF
Price: 14,62
More info:

ETF provider: WisdomTree

Ticker: PHAG

ISIN: JE00B1VS3333

Currency: Euro

Exchange: Euronext Amsterdam

Long term: 1 year

Expected profit: 50%

Achievable within 1 year: 70% chance

Short term: 1 month

Expected profit: 5%
Achievable within 1 month: 90% chance

Reason bought:

Silver has been used as a hedge against stock market falls. Silver had to be sold due to the sharp fall in stock markets. However, the silver price will recover from coronavirus anxiety, recession anxiety and the necessary stimulation from central banks.

SOLD

Date: 24-02-2020
Type sell: Short term sell
ETF: ETFS (WisdomTree) Physical Silver ETF
Purchase date: 06-09-2019
Price: 16,40
Realised profit: 6%
Reason sell:

Mission accomplished.

SOLD

Date: 21-02-2020
Type sell: Short term sell
ETF: ETFS (WisdomTree) Physical Silver ETF
Purchase date: 28-01-2020
Price: 16,03
Realised profit: 5%
Reason sell:

Mission accomplished.

BOUGHT

Date: 28-01-2020
ETF: ETFS (WisdomTree) Physical Silver ETF
Price: 15,27
More info:

ETF provider: WisdomTree

Ticker: PHAG

ISIN: JE00B1VS3333

Currency: Euro

Exchange: Euronext Amsterdam

Long term: 1 year

Expected profit: 50%

Achievable within 1 year: 70% chance

Short term: 1 month

Expected profit: 5%
Achievable within 1 month: 90% chance

Reason bought:

I expect a further spread of the corona virus. If the spread increases then the fear will also increase. Because of that fear, the silver price will rise.

SOLD

Date: 27-12-2019
Type sell: Long term sell
ETF: ETFS Brent Oil
Purchase date: 12-10-2018
Price: 29,30
Realised profit: 14%
Reason sell:

In total 4 purchases from 12-10-2018. Fully disembarked. Thanks to the Aramco IPO, Saudi Arabia has an even greater need to keep the oil price high. The OPEC countries to which Saudi Arabia belongs, however, collectively no longer control almost all production. I expect that OPEC will still be able to prevent significant falls. The world economy is growing less and less. That puts a brake on the demand for oil. As a result, OPEC will not be able to make the oil price rise sharply. Preventing a fall is the highest attainable. That is why this ETF was sold because of the disappointing growth of the global economy.

SOLD

Date: 27-12-2019
Type sell: Short term sell
ETF: ETFS Physical Silver ETF
Purchase date: 12-11-2019
Price: 15,00
Realised profit: 5%
Reason sell:

Mission accomplished.

BOUGHT

Date: 12-11-2019
ETF: ETFS (Wisdom Tree) Physical Silver ETF
Price: 14,25
More info:

ETF provider: Wisdom Tree

Ticker: PHAG

ISIN: JE00B1VS3333

Currency: Euro

Exchange: Euronext Amsterdam

Long term: 1 year

Expected profit: 50%

Achievable within 1 year: 70% chance

Short term: 1 month

Expected profit: 5%
Achievable within 1 month: 90% chance

Reason bought:

Stock market sentiment has been very positive recently. As a result, investors saw no risks and no reason to buy silver. That good stock market sentiment was mainly based on the hope of a beautiful and speedy trade deal between the US and China. However, the trade deal is becoming increasingly difficult. If stock market sentiment changes to negative, more silver will be purchased. In addition, the economy is becoming less and less and central banks are increasingly stimulating. Inflation is also rising here and there. More stimulation and rising inflation are reasons to buy silver.

SOLD

Date: 25-10-2019
Type sell: Short term sell
ETF: ETFS (Wisdom Tree) Physical Silver ETF
Purchase date: 16-10-2019
Price: 15,41
Realised profit: 5%
Reason sell:

Mission accomplished.

BOUGHT

Date: 16-10-2019
ETF: ETFS (Wisdom Tree) Physical Silver ETF
Price: 14,68
More info:

ETF provider: ETF Securities

Ticker: PHAG

ISIN: JE00B1VS3333

Currency: Euro

Exchange: Euronext Amsterdam

Long term: 1 year

Expected profit: 40%

Achievable within 1 year: 80% chance

Short term: 1 month

Expected profit: 5%
Achievable within 1 month: 90% chance

Reason bought:

There seems to be no trade deal between the US and China. A trade war between the US and the EU can start on Friday. More importantly, central banks and especially the FED are increasingly stimulating.

BOUGHT

Date: 06-09-2019
ETF: ETFS Physical Silver ETF
Price: 15,47
More info:

Provider ETF: ETF Securities

Ticker: PHAG

ISIN: JE00B1VS3333

Currency: Euro

Exchange: Euronext Amsterdam

Long term: 1 year

Expected profit: 50%

Achievable within 1 year: 80% chance

Short term: 1 month

Expected profit: 6%
Achievable within 1 month: 80% chance

Reason bought:

The silver price is in a strong bull market. Just like the gold price. However, the ratio between the silver and gold prices is still very high. That is why the silver price has a lot of potential. Speculators have been active in recent weeks. With more stimulation from central banks, that will only increase.

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